{"id":22112,"date":"2026-02-18T14:57:15","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T13:57:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/?p=22112"},"modified":"2026-02-18T15:09:24","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T14:09:24","slug":"od-garanta-k-riziku-eroze-demokracie-v-usa-a-konec-transatlanticke-aliance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/2026\/02\/18\/od-garanta-k-riziku-eroze-demokracie-v-usa-a-konec-transatlanticke-aliance\/","title":{"rendered":"Od garanta k riziku eroze demokracie v USA a konec Transatlantick\u00e9 aliance"},"content":{"rendered":"

V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 turbulentn\u00ed situaci v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed politice se nask\u00fdt\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, zda jsou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty americk\u00e9 st\u00e1le pil\u00ed\u0159em demokracie a bezpe\u010dnosti, nebo sledujeme erozi velmoci, kter\u00e1 se obrac\u00ed sama do sebe? Toto t\u00e9ma jsme rozeb\u00edrali na \u00fatern\u00edm ve\u010dern\u00edm webin\u00e1\u0159i pod z\u00e1\u0161titou TOPAZ, kde prob\u011bhla debata, kter\u00e1 ne\u0161et\u0159ila up\u0159\u00edmnost\u00ed a pocitem znepokojen\u00ed. Hosty byli poslanec Marek \u017den\u00ed\u0161ek a analytik Dalibor Roh\u00e1\u010d. Jejich pohled by nem\u011bl uniknout nikomu, koho zaj\u00edm\u00e1 budoucnost Evropy a sv\u011btov\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed budovan\u00e9ho po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sv\u011bt se m\u011bn\u00ed rychleji, ne\u017e si jsme ochotni p\u0159ipustit. Zat\u00edmco v Evrop\u011b st\u00e1le spol\u00e9h\u00e1me na transatlantickou vazbu, ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech prob\u00edhaj\u00ed procesy, kter\u00e9 mohou tuto jistotu brzy prom\u011bnit v minulost. Webin\u00e1\u0159 s n\u00e1zvem \u201eOd garanta k riziku: eroze demokracie v USA a konec Transatlantick\u00e9 aliance\u201c otev\u0159el t\u00e9mata, o kter\u00fdch se v diplomatick\u00fdch kruz\u00edch \u010dasto jen \u0161ept\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>Konec automatick\u00e9 ochrany? <\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Hned v \u00favodu webin\u00e1\u0159e Marek \u017den\u00ed\u0161ek rozbil \u010dastou evropskou iluzi, \u017ee pokud v americk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch vyhraje ten \u201espr\u00e1vn\u00fd\u201c kandid\u00e1t, v\u0161e se vr\u00e1t\u00ed do star\u00fdch, klidn\u00fdch kolej\u00ed. Realita je jin\u00e1. T\u011b\u017ei\u0161t\u011b z\u00e1jmu USA se dlouhodob\u011b a nezvratn\u011b p\u0159esouv\u00e1. <\/em>\u017den\u00ed\u0161ek varoval, \u017ee si mus\u00edme p\u0159estat lh\u00e1t do kapsy. Podle n\u011bj maj\u00ed dnes Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty jedin\u00e9ho skute\u010dn\u00e9ho rivala \u2013 \u010c\u00ednu \u2013 a pozornost Washingtonu se bude up\u00edrat do Pacifiku bez ohledu na to, kdo sed\u00ed v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evropa jako takov\u00e1 se dost\u00e1v\u00e1 do pozice regionu, kter\u00fd je sice spojencem, ale u\u017e ne t\u00edm strategicky nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm. \u017den\u00ed\u0161ek tak\u00e9 kritizoval dosavadn\u00ed evropsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup k bezpe\u010dnosti. P\u0159ipomn\u011bl, \u017ee Evropa dlouho \u017eila v p\u0159edstav\u011b, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee navy\u0161ovat soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fddaje a d\u016fchody, zat\u00edmco o jej\u00ed obranu se postaraj\u00ed USA. Tato \u00e9ra podle n\u011bj skon\u010dila \u2013 Evropa u\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt v NATO \u201e\u010dern\u00fdm pasa\u017e\u00e9rem\u201c a americk\u00fd da\u0148ov\u00fd poplatn\u00edk se pr\u00e1vem pt\u00e1, pro\u010d by m\u011bl financovat bezpe\u010dnost spojenc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed sami do obrany neinvestuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>Vnit\u0159n\u00ed rozklad velmoci: Kdy\u017e instituce selh\u00e1vaj\u00ed<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Je\u0161t\u011b mraziv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a hlub\u0161\u00ed pohled nab\u00eddl Dalibor Roh\u00e1\u010d, kter\u00fd situaci sleduje p\u0159\u00edmo z Washingtonu. Upozornil, \u017ee zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika je v\u017edy jen odrazem politiky dom\u00e1c\u00ed. A ta americk\u00e1 je nemocn\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Roh\u00e1\u010d v diskusi zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee probl\u00e9mem nen\u00ed jedna konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed osoba (nap\u0159. Donald Trump), ale celkov\u00e1 eroze d\u016fv\u011bry v syst\u00e9m. Popsal stav, kdy se politick\u00fd souboj m\u011bn\u00ed v boj o p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed a druh\u00e1 strana je vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozba.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jsme sv\u011bdky postupn\u00e9 eroze instituc\u00ed, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edve zaji\u0161\u0165ovaly stabilitu syst\u00e9mu. Posledn\u00edmi, kdo zat\u00edm odol\u00e1vaj\u00ed, jsou soudy \u2013 ot\u00e1zkou ale z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1, jak dlouho. Zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 znepokojuj\u00edc\u00ed je skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Donald Trump i nad\u00e1le odm\u00edt\u00e1 uznat svou por\u00e1\u017eku ve volb\u00e1ch v roce 2020, \u010d\u00edm\u017e systematicky podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 d\u016fv\u011bru ve volebn\u00ed proces. Budouc\u00ed volby sice mohou z\u016fstat form\u00e1ln\u011b svobodn\u00e9, ale u\u017e v\u016fbec nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt f\u00e9rov\u00e9. Dal\u0161\u00edm extr\u00e9mn\u00edm rizikem pro americkou demokracii je pak neb\u00fdval\u00e1 m\u00edra korupce sou\u010dasn\u00e9 administrativy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

St\u00e1le rostouc\u00ed polarizace vede k nep\u0159edv\u00eddatelnosti. U\u017e do dob Baracka Obamy se ameri\u010dt\u00ed prezidenti st\u00e1le v\u00edce uchyluj\u00ed k obch\u00e1zen\u00ed Kongresu. Sv\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed prosazuj\u00ed prezidentsk\u00fdmi dekrety, kter\u00e9 ale jejich n\u00e1stupce m\u016f\u017ee snadno zru\u0161it. Vnit\u0159n\u00ed paral\u00fdza podle Roh\u00e1\u010de omezuje schopnost USA b\u00fdt spolehliv\u00fdm l\u00eddrem navenek. Spojenci USA se ocitaj\u00ed v situaci, kdy dohody uzav\u0159en\u00e9 s jednou administrativou mohou b\u00fdt tou dal\u0161\u00ed roztrh\u00e1ny na kusy. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se m\u011bn\u00ed z garanta stability na zdroj rizika a nejistoty. Evropa mus\u00ed po\u010d\u00edtat s t\u00edm, \u017ee dohody a spojenectv\u00ed mohou b\u00fdt v budoucnu zpochybn\u011bny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a>Co to znamen\u00e1 pro n\u00e1s? <\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Z \u00fatern\u00edho webin\u00e1\u0159e nevyplynula jenom negativita a skepse, ale p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm jasn\u00fd apel sm\u011brem k \u010desk\u00e9 a hlavn\u011b evropsk\u00e9 politick\u00e9 reprezentaci. Oba \u0159e\u010dn\u00edci se sholi, \u017ee st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed pasivn\u00ed spol\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed se na Washington nen\u00ed udr\u017eitelnou a z\u00e1rove\u0148 spr\u00e1vnou strategi\u00ed. Evrop\u0161t\u00ed partne\u0159i mus\u00ed budovat strategickou autonomii, kdy nebude obrana Evropy z\u00e1viset p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b na jednom akt\u00e9rovi, proto\u017ee jak ukazuje sou\u010dasn\u00e1 turbulentn\u00ed situace, jde o o\u010dividn\u00fd hazard. Co tedy mus\u00edme ud\u011blat?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Obrana nen\u00ed voliteln\u00e1 polo\u017eka:<\/strong>\u00a0Z\u00e1vazek 2 % HDP na obranu u\u017e nen\u00ed c\u00edlovou p\u00e1skou, ale je moment\u00e1ln\u011b sp\u00ed\u0161e startovn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1rou. Pokud chceme, aby n\u00e1s USA braly v\u00e1\u017en\u011b, mus\u00edme uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee jsme schopni se o svou bezpe\u010dnost postarat i sami.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Strategick\u00e1 autonomie<\/strong>: Evropa mus\u00ed budovat kapacity, kter\u00e9 j\u00ed umo\u017en\u00ed jednat i v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee USA daj\u00ed od probl\u00e9m\u016f na na\u0161em kontinentu ruce pry\u010d. Nejedn\u00e1 se o neloajalitu k USA, jde o re\u00e1lnou a nutnou pojistku pro na\u0161e p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Realismus m\u00edsto emoc\u00ed<\/strong>: M\u00edsto paniky z v\u00fdsledk\u016f americk\u00fdch voleb mus\u00edme s USA budovat vztahy zalo\u017een\u00e9 na pragmatick\u00fdch z\u00e1jmech, kter\u00fdmi jsou obchod, technologie a energetika.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 turbulentn\u00ed situaci v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed politice se nask\u00fdt\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, zda jsou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty americk\u00e9 st\u00e1le pil\u00ed\u0159em demokracie a bezpe\u010dnosti, nebo sledujeme erozi velmoci, kter\u00e1 se obrac\u00ed sama do sebe? Toto t\u00e9ma jsme rozeb\u00edrali na \u00fatern\u00edm ve\u010dern\u00edm webin\u00e1\u0159i pod z\u00e1\u0161titou TOPAZ, kde prob\u011bhla debata, kter\u00e1 ne\u0161et\u0159ila up\u0159\u00edmnost\u00ed a pocitem znepokojen\u00ed. Hosty byli poslanec Marek \u017den\u00ed\u0161ek […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":22115,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22112","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-aktuality"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22112","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22112"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22112\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22118,"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22112\/revisions\/22118"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22115"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22112"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22112"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22112"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}